Jason Schlitz

I hope everyone enjoyed our last reminder of winter. A heat dome is building and the heat is on!

The next few days and this weekend will feature a massive heat dome building over the Southwest US. Places like Phoenix will experience record highs. This heat will set all-time record highs for the month of March across the desert southwest.

Houston will be on the eastern edge of the heat dome. While we won’t be as hot as Arizona, we will feel it. We should see 90’s across the metro area on Saturday and Sunday. Under mostly clear skies, we won’t see a drop of rain for a long time.

We should cool off a little next week as the heat dome weakens and shifts away. In the meantime, stay hydrated and take it easy in the heat.

Jason Schlitz

Just a reminder a strong cold front will move across Southeast Texas late this afternoon and into tonight. Should be moving into the Houston area around 5-7pm. The winds behind the front will be very gusty, so secure your lawn furniture, or anything else that could blow around in the wind.

Jason Schlitz

Happy Saturday everyone. It’s March and that often brings wild swings in the weather. This weekend will feature a pair of warm days with highs in the 80’s. Tomorrow night, a strong cold front will plow through Southeast Texas with gusty north winds.

Monday will feel a lot cooler with highs topping out in the 50’s. Monday night will be chilly with lows in the upper 30’s. This may threaten (or break) some record lows and I wouldn’t be surprised to see some frost on the rooftops and exposed areas. It would probably be a good idea to protect your most tender tropicals, like plumerias.

A warming trend begins next week and we’ll be back into the 80’s by Thursday or Friday.

A major heat dome will be forming out west and we may find ourselves in the 90’s by next weekend.

If you like cooler weather, enjoy tomorrow’s front because that appears to be it for a long time.

Jason Schlitz

Good morning. Some of us experienced some rain showers overnight. There were even some claps of thunder under the strongest storms.

The overnight showers were a sign of more to come. A pair of cold fronts will move through Southeast Texas later today. Before they arrive, the atmosphere will continue to destabilize and heat up. This may allow some of the storms to become severe, but the bulk of the severe weather will stay off to our north and east.

After the front, expect a few days of beautiful spring-like weather. We’ll have highs in the 70’s with low humidity – perfect weather for Southeast Texas.

Keep a watch out later today but it shouldn’t be too bad for most of us.

Jason Schlitz

This week is spring break for several local school districts. The front that came down on Saturday has washed-out, leaving us back in the “soup.”

It will stay warm and humid like this for the next couple of days before the next cold front arrives on Wednesday.

Wednesday’s front will bring us another round of storms, with some severe weather mostly off to our north and east. You will feel this front as it has some punch behind it. Thursday going into the weekend will bring a round of beautiful post-frontal weather. The humidity will leave us for a few days, winds will calm down and we’ll have some bright, sunny days. Overall, not bad for spring break.

Jason Schlitz

The Houston area has been place in what’s called a “mesoscale precipitation discussion” which is essentially an area of specific focus for severe weather, in this case, heavy rainfall and isolated flash flooding.

In short, things are coming together for some much-needed rain across the area. Because of the ongoing drought, flash flooding is not expected to be a widespread problem, but there could be some isolated cases of this if storms train over the same area.

The atmosphere is pretty unstable right now, so keep a watch for any possible changes or warnings.

A quick update. Scattered storms are starting to form ahead of the cold front. Expect this to increase this afternoon and then a line of storms later.

Below is a radar snapshot and a view to the north with one of those isolated storms.

Jason Schlitz

A quick update today. The cold front is currently moving across the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex. It will arrive in the Houston area later this afternoon. I would expect some watches to be issued later today for severe weather, so keep an eye out later today.

Jason Schlitz

Stormy weather will arrive in Southeast Texas this weekend. Some questions remain around timing but the picture is coming into focus now.

We are now within range of most of the high-resolution models. These models show the storms moving into the Houston Metro area later in the day (versus midday). I think this is the right trend and most of us will stay dry most of Saturday. So, not a washout tomorrow. By late afternoon, a squall line will form and move through during the evening hours. Some of the storms could be severe, especially as the first storms pop-up. Any isolated cells could become tornadic. As the storms mature into a squall line, the main threat will transition into straight-line winds.

Keep a close eye on the weather tomorrow and plan to be ‘stuck’ wherever you are sometime in the evening.

Jason Schlitz